How Turfs Edge Confidence Ratings Work

Confidence represents the relative strength of the predictive signal, not certainty of winning.

RatingStarsMeaning
★★★★★5/5Highest-confidence qualifying selections.
★★★★☆4/5Strong model agreement with a clear positive signal.
★★★☆☆3/5Moderate edge with some uncertainty.
★★☆☆☆2/5Weak signal or conflicting indicators.
★☆☆☆☆1/5Very limited model confidence.

Confidence Calibration

As enough historical data accumulates, TeT displays performance by confidence rating (selections, winners, strike rate) computed from the underlying results dataset. Nothing is hard-coded or cherry-picked.

See the live breakdown on the track record page.

Important

A 5/5 rating reflects the strongest model signal — it is not a guarantee of winning. Always gamble responsibly. Read our responsible gambling guidance.